2 1 Ja n 20 03 Epidemics , disorder , and percolation
نویسندگان
چکیده
Spatial models for spread of an epidemic may be mapped onto bond percolation. We point out that with disorder in the strength of contacts between individuals patchiness in the spread of the epidemic is very likely, and the criterion for epidemic outbreak depends strongly on the disorder because the critical region of the corresponding percolation model is broadened. In some networks the percolation threshold is zero if another kind of disorder is present, namely divergent fluctuations in the number of contacts. We give an example, a network with a well defined geography, where this is not necessarily so, and discuss whether real infection networks are likely to have this property.
منابع مشابه
Epidemics, disorder, and percolation
Spatial models for spread of an epidemic may be mapped onto bond percolation. We point out that with disorder in the strength of contacts between individuals patchiness in the spread of the epidemic is very likely, and the criterion for epidemic outbreak depends strongly on the disorder because the critical region of the corresponding percolation model is broadened. In some networks the percola...
متن کاملJa n 20 08 Local Persistence in the Directed Percolation Universality Class
We revisit the problem of local persistence in directed percolation, reporting improved estimates of the persistence exponent in 1+1 dimensions, discovering strong corrections to scaling in higher dimensions, and investigating the mean field limit. Moreover, we introduce a graded persistence probability that a site does not flip more than n times and demonstrate how local persistence can be stu...
متن کاملJa n 20 03 Scaling Limit , Noise , Stability
Linear functions of many independent random variables lead to classical noises (white, Poisson, and their combinations) in the scaling limit. Some singular stochastic flows and some models of oriented percolation involve very nonlinear functions and lead to nonclassical noises. Two examples are examined, Warren’s ‘noise made by a Poisson snake’ and the author’s ‘Brownian web as a black noise’. ...
متن کاملar X iv : h ep - t h / 03 01 12 7 v 1 1 7 Ja n 20 03 Supersymmetry in Spaces of Constant Curvature
متن کامل
ar X iv : m at h - ph / 0 60 10 23 v 1 1 1 Ja n 20 06 Cardy ’ s Formula for Certain Models of the Bond – Triangular Type
We introduce and study a family of 2D percolation systems which are based on the bond percolation model of the triangular lattice. The system under study has local correlations, however, bonds separated by a few lattice spacings act independently of one another. By avoiding explicit use of microscopic paths, it is first established that the model possesses the typical attributes which are indic...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2003